What are the chances of that? : how to think about uncertainty [electronic resource] /
Andrew C.A. Elliott.
- First Edition published in 2021.
- 1 online resource (384 pages) ; illustrations, charts, photographs.
- Oxford Scholarship Online. .
- Oxford Scholarship Online. .
This edition also issued in print: 2021.
Includes bibliographical references and index (pages 347-356).
Chance fills every day of our lives and affects every decision we make. Yet, for something woven so closely into the fabric of our being, we are not very good at thinking about uncertainty and risk. Andrew C.A. Elliott asks why this is so. He picks at the threads and, in showing how our world is built on probability rather than certainty, he identifies five obstacles to thinking about uncertainty that confuse us time after time. Elliott takes us into the casino, but this is not an invitation to gamble. He looks at financial markets, but this is not a guide to investment. There's discussion of health, but this is not a medical book. He touches on genetics and evolution, and music-making, and writing, because chance is at work there too.